山东省入境旅游经济的区域差异演变及影响因素分析

Analysis on the Regional Differences Evolution and its Influencing Factors of Inbound Tourism in Shandong Province

山东省是我国人口大省、经济大省,也是旅游大省,在入境旅游迅猛发展的同时,旅游经济的区域发展不平衡问题也日益凸显.本文依据地理分区方法,将山东省划分为鲁东、鲁中、鲁西北、鲁西南、鲁中南五大研究区域,运用标准差、变异系数及赫芬达尔系数定量测度了2007—2017年期间山东省入境旅游收入的总体差异,并运用泰尔指数分析了山东省入境旅游收入的区域差异.结果表明:山东省入境旅游业整体的发展是良性的且趋向均衡,但旅游经济区域差异仍较大,且有进一步扩大的趋势.运用地理探测器对差异形成的因素进行因子探测,发现:该差异的形成主要受实际利用外资、对外可达性及旅游接待规模的影响;此外,经济发展水平、产业结构、对外开放水平及旅游服务水平对差异的形成也具有一定影响.

Shandong is a big province with large population and strong economy,also big one in tourism.Disparity regional development problem still exists and becomes more and more serious due to the rapid development of the inbound tourism industry.Shandong Province was divided into 5 areas,then the standard deviation,coefficient of variation and H-H index were used to measure the general characteristic of the differences of inbound tourism revenue in Shandong Province from 2007 to 2017.And then Theil index was adopted to make a quantitative analysis of the regional differences of its inbound tourism.The result indicates that the regional gap is large,and has a tendency to expand,although its development of inbound tourism tend to be more balanced.By using geographic detector to detect its factors,the results show that the main factors are the utilization of foreign capital,the external accessibility and the scale of tourism,in addition,the economic development level,industrial structure,the degree of opening to the outside and tourism service level also have certain influence on the formation of a difference.