科技创新、社会保障与区域经济增长--基于SDM的分析

Scientific and Technological Innovation,Social Security and Regional Economic Growth——An Analysis Based on SDM

利用动态空间面板杜宾模型(SDM)对我国科技创新水平、社会保障、区域经济增长间的关系进行实证检验。结果发现:失业保障支出和医疗保障支出对区域经济增长具有显著抑制作用,养老保障支出对区域经济增长具有显著促进作用;科技创新水平显著地增强了失业保障和医疗保障对区域经济增长的抑制作用,减弱了养老保障对区域经济增长的促进作用。因此,在科技创新的调节下,政府应采取措施降低失业保障投入,维持医疗保障投入,增加养老保障投入。

In this study,the dynamic panel of Spatial Durbin Model(SDM)was used to test the relationship among the level of scientific and technological innovation,social security and regional economic growth in China.The results showed that:expenditures of unemployment security and medical security had a significant inhibitory effects on regional economic growth,and old-age security expenditure had a significant role in promoting its growth.However,the level of scientific and technological innovation had significantly enhanced the inhibitory effects,and weakened the promoting effects.Therefore,under the regulation of scientific and technological innovation,the government should take measures to reduce the investment of unemployment security,maintain the investment of medical security,and increase the investment of old-age security.