新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿的影响因素——基于浙江问卷调查数据的实证分析

On the Factors Influencing New-Generation Migrant Workers Willingness to Improve Employability ——An Empirical Study Based on a Survey in Zhejiang

利用问卷调查数据,运用有序多分类Logistic回归模型分析了新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿的影响因素。结果表明,新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿的影响因素有年龄、培训经历、家庭人均月收入、企业录用政策和培训政策以及对产业升级的态度。年龄对新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿的影响呈倒U形,其中26~30岁的新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿最强;家庭人均月收入对新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿的影响呈V形变化趋势,家庭人均月收入在2501~3000元的新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿最低,3000元以上则最强。培训经历、对产业升级的态度、企业录用政策和培训政策对新生代农民工就业能力提升意愿具有显著的正向影响。进而提出完善新生代农民工职业技能培训机制,促进农民工家庭收入稳定增长,引导企业完善人力资源管理政策,提高新生代农民工对产业升级的认识等政策建议。

Based on the survey data,the influencing factors of the new-generation migrant workers willingness to improve employability are analyzed by using an ordered Logistic regression model.The results show that the influencing factors include age,training experience,family per capita income,employment and training policies of enterprises,and attitude towards industrial upgrading.The relationship between age and willingness is inverted U-shaped,and workers between the ages of 26-30 have the strongest willingness to improve their employability.The relationship between monthly family per capita income and willingness is V-shaped,and workers whose family per capita income is between 2501 to 3000 yuan have the least willingness while those whose family per capita income is more than 3000 yuan the highest.Training experience,attitude towards industrial upgrading,employment policy and training policy have significant positive effects on willingness.Furthermore,some policy solutions are suggested,such as improving the vocational skills training mechanism for the new-generation migrant workers,promoting the stable growth of their family income,guiding enterprises to improve human resource management policy,and improving the workers understanding of industrial upgrading.