博弈视角下东江流域横向生态补偿的可持续性研究

Research on the Sustainability of Horizontal Ecological Compensation in Dongjiang River Basin from the Perspective of Game

东江流域横向生态补偿政策实施3年来,取得了一定成效,也存在一些问题。我们运用完全信息动态博弈和演化博弈方法研究东江流域横向生态补偿利益相关方的得失权衡、策略选择和博弈结果。研究表明,中央政府的出资和监管对横向生态补偿的实施有显著影响,补偿金额的增加和政治考评的严格有利于江西省政府进行水质改善,而政治考评收益的高低是广东省是否愿意支付补偿金额度的决定性因素。研究进一步关注了江西、广东两省企业和个人作为利益相关方对博弈结果的影响。结果表明,江西省将部分生态补偿金用于当地污染产业的转型升级,广东省向全省污染产业和生态依赖产业征收部分生态补偿金,都有利于横向生态补偿的可持续发展。

In the three years since the implementation of the horizontal ecological compensation policy in the Dongjiang River Basin,some results have been achieved while there are still some problems.The dynamic information and evolutionary game methods of complete information are used to study the gains and losses tradeoffs,strategic choices and game outcomes of stakeholders in the horizontal ecological compensation of the Dongjiang River Basin.Research shows that the central government’s funding and supervision have a significant impact on the implementation of horizontal ecological compensation.The increase in compensation and strict political evaluation are conducive to the improvement of water quality in the Jiangxi provincial government,and the level of political evaluation income is that Guangdong is willing to pay compensation Decisive factor.The study further focused on the influence of enterprises and individuals in Jiangxi and Guangdong as stakeholders on the outcome of the game.The results show that Jiangxi Province will use part of the ecological compensation for the transformation and upgrading of local polluting industries,and Guangdong Province will levy part of the ecological compensation from the province’s polluting industries and ecologically dependent industries,which will be conducive to the sustainable development of horizontal ecological compensation.