粤港澳大湾区经济依存与经济联动发展实证研究

Empirical Study on Economic Dependence and Linked Development of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

粤港澳大湾区享有独特的区位优势和政策红利,地区之间经济依存关系紧密,已逐渐发展成为推动我国经济高质量发展的最重要经济区域。在分析粤港澳大湾区经济发展现状特征、测度分析大湾区经济依存关系基础上,构建虚拟变量回归模型,实证研究粤港澳大湾区经济联动发展问题,研究表明:粤港澳大湾区经济依存度和经济发展空间分布极为不平衡,第三产业发展迅速但存在较大转型提升空间,经济依存度对大湾区经济联动发展具有显著影响。因此,应深化粤港澳合作,实现大湾区联动发展;优化产业空间布局,推动大湾区产业高度化转型;完善创新体制机制,加快优质资源向粤港澳大湾区集聚。

Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area enjoys unique location advantage and policy dividend,and the economic interdependence between regions is close.It has gradually developed into the most important economic region that promotes the high-quality development of China's economy.Based on the analysis of the characteristics of the economic development of the Greater Bay Area of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao and the measurement and analysis of the economic dependence of the Bay Area,a dummy variable regression model is constructed to empirically study the economic development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.The result shows that the economic dependence and spatial distribution of economic development in the Great Bay Area of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao are extremely unbalanced,the tertiary industry is developing rapidly,but there is a large space for transformation and promotion,and the economic dependence has a significant impact on the economic development of the Greater Bay Area.Therefore,the cooperation between Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao should be deepened to realize the joint development of the Greater Bay Area,optimize the layout of the industrial space and promote the transformation of the industry in the Greater Bay Area;improve the innovative institutional mechanisms and accelerate the accumulation of high-quality resources in the Greater Bay Area.