全球价值链下的中欧制造业贸易隐含碳研究

On the embodied carbon in China-EU manufacturing trade under global value chain

为了避免中间品反复跨境导致的传统贸易重复统计问题,选取2000—2011年14个中欧制造业数据,使用基于增加值分解的总贸易核算法测算中欧制造业贸易隐含碳,实证考察GVC参与度对中欧贸易隐含碳及中国生产碳的影响。研究结果表明:中欧制造业贸易隐含碳主要来源于中国出口隐含碳且集中在中低技术制造业,增加值分解下的碳排放责任分担认为在消费者责任下欧盟要为中欧制造业贸易隐含碳承担主要排放责任,第三国家承担次要排放责任;复杂嵌入模式下的中国制造业GVC参与度提升能显著降低中国生产碳和中欧贸易隐含碳排放,简单嵌入模式下的中国制造业GVC参与度提升会增加中欧贸易隐含碳排放,降低中国生产碳排放。

In order to avoid the duplication of statistics traditional trade caused by intermediate goods crossing borders repeatedly,the present study,by selecting 14 China-Europe manufacturing data from 2000 to 2011 and exploiting the gross trade accounting method based on value-added decomposition,calculated the embodied carbon in China-EU manufacturing trade.and took empirical investigation into the effect of GVC participation on the embodied carbon in China-EU trade and that produced by China.The results show that the embodied carbon in China-EU manufacturing trade mainly comes from China's export and it is concentrated in medium and low-technology manufacturing,and that under the consumer responsibility based on value-added decomposition,EU should take major responsibility for the embodied carbon emissions,while the third country should take the secondary responsibility for emission reduction.Results also show that the increase of complex GVC participation index of China's manufacturing industry can significantly reduce China's production-based carbon emissions(PCE)and the embodied carbon emission of China-Eu trade,while improvement of simple GVC participation will increase the carbon emissions of China-Eu trade and reduce the carbon emissions of China's PCE.