国内外乙丙橡胶的市场分析

Market Analysis of Ethylene-Propylene Rubber at Home and Abroad

分析国内外乙丙橡胶的生产和消费现状及发展前景。2019年世界乙丙橡胶的生产能力为235. 5万t,生产装置主要集中在东北亚地区,美国是世界最大的乙丙橡胶生产国家;2018年世界乙丙橡胶的消费量为168. 4万t,消费主要集中在东北亚地区,中国大陆消费量最大,预计2023年世界乙丙橡胶消费量将达到191. 0万t。2019年我国乙丙橡胶总生产能力为39. 5万t,是世界第二大乙丙橡胶生产国家;2019年我国乙丙橡胶的进口量为34. 82万t,同比降低3. 94%;2019年的出口量为1. 78万t,同比增长14. 61%;2019年我国乙丙橡胶的表观消费量为54. 54万t,预计2024年消费量将达到65. 0万t。2019年我国乙丙橡胶市场价格呈现先跌后涨的发展态势,价格为每吨14 300~18 000元。分析乙丙橡胶的发展趋势,对我国乙丙橡胶的发展方向提出建议。

The production and consumption situation and development prospect of ethylene-propylene rubber(EPR) at home and abroad were analyzed. The total global production capacity of EPR was 2 355 000 t in 2019. Production facilities were mainly concentrated in northeast Asia. The United States was the largest producer of EPR in the world. The world consumption of EPR in 2018 was 1 684 000 t and it was mainly concentrated in northeast Asia with the largest consumption in the Chinese mainland. It was expected that the consumption of EPR in the world would reach 1 910 000 t in 2023. China’s total production capacity of EPR was 395 000 t in 2019,and China was the second largest producer in the world. China’s import volume of EPR was 348 200 t in 2019,decreasing by 3. 94% from 2018. The export volume in 2019 was 17 800 t,increasing up by 14. 61% from 2018. China’s apparent consumption of EPR was 545 400 t in 2019,and the consumption was expected to reach 650 000 t in 2024. China’s EPR price declined first and then increased in 2019,with the price range of 14 300~18 000 yuan per ton.This paper pointed out the development trend of EPR and put forward some suggestions on the development direction of EPR in China.