美国印太战略的新场域与菲律宾的“静默退出”

The New Field of U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy and Philippines’ “Silence and Quit”

作为美国亚太地区的条约盟国,菲律宾在美国的印太战略上却选择了"静默退出"。现有的研究强调菲自身的因素,在一定程度上忽视了在美菲不对称关系中,美国作为强势的一方拥有着更多的选择权,换言之,美国本可以提供更多的奖罚手段来"调控"菲律宾所采取的政策,因此在一定意义上菲的政策调整在更深层上也是美政策战略的产物。文章主要分析美国印太战略中新场域的开辟给菲律宾形成的外部压力,指出菲在印太战略中重要性被降低,菲在一定程度上被美"战略抛弃",这促使菲选择"静默退出"的政策。

As a treaty ally of the U.S. in the Asia-Pacific region, the Philippines chose to adopt "Silence and Quit" related to U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy. The existing research emphasizes the Philippines’ internal factors, and to some extent ignores the fact that the United States, being a strong party, has more choices in the asymmetric relationship between the United States and the Philippines. To put it differently, the United States could have provided more reward and punishment options to "regulate" the policies adopted by the Philippines. Therefore, the policy adjustment of the Philippines is also a result of the American policy strategy. This paper mainly analyzes the external pressure on the Philippines caused by the establishment of a new field in the U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy, and points out that the strategic importance of the Philippines in the Indo-Pacific strategy has diminished, and the Philippines has been "abandoned" by the U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy to a certain extent, which pushes the Philippines to choose the "Silence and Quit" option.