基于仿真的无人机空袭沙特油田事件探索性分析

Simulation-based An Exploratory Analysis of Drone Air strike on Saudi oilfields

以2019年9月也门空袭沙特油田事件为例,提出一种基于仿真的危机事件快速分析方法,将仿真与探索性分析相结合,对危机事件进行全面的分析与处理。根据沙特、也门关于事件细节的公开资料,基于仿真推演复盘此次空袭的作战情况,校验各方在事件声明中细节的合理性和真实性,同时可为我国防御"低、小、慢"无人机的发展和作战研究提供借鉴意义。

The incident of air strike in Sandi Arabia in September 2019 is taken as an example,A rapid analysis method for crisis events based on simulation is proposed.Combining the simulation with the exploratory analysis,the uncertainty of crisis events is comprehensively analyzed and dealt with.According to the public information of the incidents details from Sandi Arabia,Yemen,the combat situation of the air strike is replayed based on the wargaming.The rationality and authenticity of the details in the event statement is verified and can also provide reference to the development and combat research of the“Low,Small and Slow”UAVs in China.