“一带一路”与沿线国家跨越贫困陷阱

“One Belt,One Road” and the Countries along the Line Crossing the Poverty Trap

从全球产业转移及其对中国工业化进程的影响出发,立足中国取得的举世瞩目的脱贫成就,结合"一带一路"沿线国家跨越中等收入陷阱及其贫困陷阱的现实,在产品生命周期理论框架下,探讨了"一带一路"与全球产业升级的关系、对沿线各国跨越贫困陷阱的启示。研究表明,差异化的产业结构为沿线各国的经济合作提供了现实基础,但同时,沿线国家的寻租风险、政治游说风险、利益分配不均、公共物品供给不足和观念俘获等问题是影响"一带一路"项目建设的主要障碍。对此,从理论研究和国际舆论宣传、企业市场行为、政府协调监督,以及制度推广和建设等方面提出了对策建议。

This paper discusses the relationship between "one belt,one road"and global industrial upgrading based on China’s remarkable achievements in poverty alleviation and the country’s poverty trap under the framework of product life cycle theory from the global industrial transfer and its impact on China’s industrialization process. The research shows that the differentiated industrial structure provides a practical basis for the economic cooperation e. At the same time,rent seeking,political lobbying,uneven distribution of interests,insufficient supply of public goods and the capture of ideas are the main obstacles to"one belt,one road"project. In this regard,the paper puts forward proposals from the theoretical research and international propagandas,enterprises behavior,government coordination and supervision,as well as system construction.