6PAUL S. The Determination of Oil Prices 1945-1995 : A Diagramrnatie Interpretation[ J]. Energy Policy, 1995, 23 (10) : 861-870.
7BRUCE A, ANTHONY F. Probabilistic Forecasts from Probabilistic Models: A Case Study in the Oil Market[ J]. International Journal of Forecasting, 1995, 11 ( 1 ) :63-72.
8CLAUDIO M, A Semi-parametric Approach to Short - term Oil Price Forecasting[ J]. Energy Economics, 2001,23 (3) : 325-338.
9DAVID J C, ISMAEL M. Estimating oil price 'Value at Risk' using the historical simulation approach [ J ]. Energy Economics, 2003, 25 (3) : 239-253.
10MIRMIRANI S, LI H C. A comparison of VAR and neural networks with genetic algorithm in forecasting price of oi1[ J]. Advances in Econometrics, 2004, 19: 203-223.