基于耦合-关联模型的新疆城镇化与农村居民消费结构互动关系研究

Study on the Interactive Relationship Between Urbanization and Rural Residents’Consumption Structure in Xinjiang based on Coupling-correlation Model

研究基于2002-2017年新疆城镇化水平和农村居民消费面板数据,运用耦合协调度模型和灰色关联模型对新疆城镇化(UR)与农村居民消费结构(RCS)"量"与"质"进行综合分析.结果表明:城镇化对农村居民消费结构有强正向拉动作用,但农村居民消费结构对城镇化反向促进作用相对较弱,其中交通通信消费的弱势作用最为显著.研究在模型机理分析的基础上对新疆城镇化发展与消费结构改善升级提出相应对策建议.

Based on the urbanization level of Xinjiang and the consumption panel data of rural residents from 2002 to 2017,this study uses the coupling coordination degree model and grey correlation model to analyze the"quantity"and"quality"of urbanization(UR)and(RCS)of rural residents in Xinjiang.The results show that urbanization has a strong positive pulling effect on the consumption structure of rural residents,but the consumption structure of rural residents has a relatively weak effect on the reverse promotion of urbanization,among which the weak effect of traffic and communication consumption is the most significant.Based on the analysis of the model mechanism,this study puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions for the development of urbanization and the improvement and upgrading of consumption structure in Xinjiang.