中美经贸关系:再融合、强竞争、弱脱钩

China-U.S.Economic Relations:Re-integration,Strong Comepetition,and Weak Decoupling

特朗普政府上台后,中美之间爆发了规模巨大的贸易战,使得中美经贸关系遭受严重冲击。在经过了将近两年的对抗和妥协之后,中美达成第一阶段经贸协议,暂时避免了失控的危机。以第一阶段协议为新的起点,中美经贸关系以平等和对等为基础,呈现出新的发展特征。再融合、强竞争与弱脱钩是最为典型的三种趋势。三种趋势相互影响,彼此塑造,共同推动中美经贸关系的未来发展。为确保中美经贸关系实现后协议时代的总体稳定,中美双方要寻找彼此能接受的新互动之道,其关键是要促进融合、管控竞争、防止脱钩。

After the Trump administration took office,an unprecedented trade war broke out between China and the United States,which caused a serious impact on Sino-US economic and trade relations.After nearly two years of confrontation and compromise,China and the United States reached the Phase One Economic and Trade agreement,temporarily averting the out-of-control crisis.Taking the phase one agreement as the new starting point,China-US economic and trade relations are based on equality and reciprocity,which shows new development characteristics.Reintegration,strong competition and weak decoupling are the three most typical trends.The three trends shape each other and jointly promote the future development of China-U.S.economic and trade relations.In order to ensure the overall stability of future China-U.S.economic and trade relations,China and the United States should find a new way of interaction in which the key is to promote integration,control competition and prevent decoupling.