住房价格上涨对不同年龄户主自有住房家庭消费结构与福利的影响研究

Study on the impact of rising housing prices on the consumption structure and welfare of householders of different ages

按年龄将家庭户主划分为三大类,分别为≦50岁、50岁~65岁和≧65岁。采用地区投入产出表和CFPS数据,构建投入产出价格模型和QUAIDS模型,利用补偿变动方法研究住房价格上涨对不同年龄户主自有住房家庭消费品价格、消费需求与福利的影响。研究结果表明,对于户主年龄超过65岁的自有住房家庭,生存型、享受型与发展型三种层次消费品价格上涨幅度和消费需求下降幅度以及补偿变动幅度均最大,据此提出了相应的对策建议。

According to the age, householders are divided into three categories: ≤ 50 years old, 50~65 years old and ≥ 65 years old. Using the regional input-output table and CFPS data, this paper constructs an input-output price model and a QUAIDS model, and uses the method of compensation change to study the impact of rising housing prices on consumer product prices, consumer demand, and welfare of householders of different ages. The results show that for householders over 65 years old, the consumer goods of survival, enjoyment and development have the largest price increase range, consumption demand decrease range and compensation change range, and the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.