国家海洋创新能力与海洋经济协调关系测度研究

Research on Coordination Relationship between National Ocean Innovation Capability and Marine Economy

建立国家海洋科技创新与海洋经济发展两个系统评价指标体系,在海洋科技创新与海洋经济各项投入产出指标的基础上,创新性地增加海洋创新绩效和海洋经济潜力分指数,对海洋创新效率及海洋经济发展质量和潜力予以考察。在协调度模型的基础上,采用均方差法测算评价指标体系中各指标权重,进而测算2004-2018年我国海洋创新与海洋经济协调度和协调发展度。结果表明,我国海洋科技创新与海洋经济发展水平逐年提高,协调关系由中度失调衰退转变为良好协调发展,协调程度变化大致分为两个阶段:2004-2006年海洋创新滞后于海洋经济发展;2007-2018年海洋创新驱动海洋经济发展。在此基础上,提出加大海洋创新投入与提高海洋创新绩效、加快海洋经济结构调整与产业升级、统筹海洋创新与海洋经济协调发展等对策建议。

This paper establishes the evaluation indicators of the two systems of national marine science and technology innovation and marine economic development.Based on the input and output indicators about marine innovation and marine economy,the two sub index of the marine innovation performance and the ocean economic potential are innovatively added to effectively consider the efficiency of marine innovation and the quality and potential of marine economic development.On the basis of the coordination degree model,the mean square error method is used to measure the weights of each indicator in the evaluation index system,and then the coordination degree and coordinated development degree of China's marine innovation and marine economy from 2004 to 2018 are measured.The research results show that the level of marine science and technology innovation and marine economic development in China has been increasing year by year,and the coordination relationship has changed from a moderate maladjusted recession to a good coordinated development.The change of the coordination degree is roughly divided into two stages:marine innovation lags behind marine economy development between 2004 and 2006;from 2007 to 2018the marine innovation drives the marine economy development.On this basis,it puts forward innovative development proposals to increase marine innovation investment and improve marine innovation performance,marine economic development countermeasures to accelerate the adjustment of marine economic structure and industrial upgrading,and countermeasures and suggestions for the coordinating marine innovation and the marine economy development,and so on.