社会保障兜底扶贫效应研究——以山西省临汾市为例

A case study on the poverty alleviation effect of social security of Linfencity of Shanxi Province

社会保障以国民收入再分配的形式对社会收入进行分配,缩小社会贫富差距,维护社会公平正义。以临汾市为例,基于2010—2017年的时间序列数据,构建社会保障指标体系,建立多元线性回归模型,检验临汾市社会保障制度的减贫效应。研究表明:临汾市社会保障综合指数、人均GDP、公共财政支出和第一产业占比都与贫困率呈负相关,而城乡居民收入差距和失业率与贫困率呈正相关,且社会保障综合指数的影响程度最大,回归系数达到-1.069。基于实证结果,最后对临汾市如何更好发挥社会保障兜底扶贫作用提出四点建议,即建立社会保障与扶贫开发的联动机制、积极探索多渠道就业、提升农村居民收入并缩小城乡收入差距以及大力发展城乡经济和特色产业。

Social security distributes social income in the form of redistribution of national incometo narrow the gap between the rich and the poor,and maintain social fairness and justice.Taking Linfen as an example,based on the data of 2010—2017,the social security index system is constructed,and the multiple linear regression model is established to test the poverty allieviation effect of the social security system in Linfen.The study shows that Linfen's comprehensive social security index,per capita GDP,public financial expenditureand the ratio of the primary industry are negatively related to the poverty rate,but the ratio of urban and rural disposable incomeand the unemployment rate are positively related to the poverty rate.The social security comprehensive index has the greatest impact withregression coefficient of-1.069.Based on the empirical results,four suggestions are put forward,namely,establishing a linkage mechanism between poverty alleviation and development and social security,actively exploring multiple channels of employment,raising rural incomes and narrowing the urban-rural income gap,vigorously developing urban and rural economies and characteristic industries.