海南低碳增长内生驱动机制研究

Research on Endogenous Driving Mechanism of Low Carbon Growth in Hainan

低碳增长的内生驱动是相对于绿色发展规制及政策导向的外在压力而言的,强调低碳增长应当成为一个国家或地区经济体系中重要的内在经济机制。此时,低碳增长的内生驱动机制是实现持续性低碳增长的基本方式。本文运用Tapio脱钩模型、碳排放因素模型分析法,对2006-2018年海南省的经济增长进行分析。结果表明,随着经济的快速增长,海南省具有阶段性碳脱钩特征,第三产业比重、旅游影响强度、城镇化率、经济开放度具有一定程度的碳排放抑制趋势。当前,海南省仍然面临着跨越式发展、绿色发展的严峻挑战,需要采取有效措施,促进低碳增长与绿色发展。

The endogenous driving force of low-carbon growth is relative to the external pressure of green development regulation and policy orientation,emphasizing that low-carbon growth should become an important internal economic mechanism in a country or region's economic system.At this time,the endogenous driving mechanism of low-carbon growth is the basic way to achieve sustained low-carbon growth.By using Tapio decoupling model and carbon emission factor model,the paper analyzes the economic growth of Hainan Province in 2006-2018.The results show that with the rapid economic growth,Hainan Province has the characteristics of staged carbon decoupling,and the proportion of tertiary industry,tourism impact intensity,urbanization rate and economic openness have a certain degree of carbon emission inhibition trend.At present,Hainan Province is still facing the severe challenge of leapfrog development and green development,and needs to take effective measures to promote low-carbon growth and green development.