摘要
根据新结构经济学的禀赋结构供求原理和循环累积因果原理,利用1999年-2018年的中国省级面板数据进行单方程模型回归和联立方程模型回归并运用"U"检验,验证了人力资本结构高级化与经济增长之间的倒"U"型关系,同时证明了经济增长能够通过产业结构的变动和教育培训体系的变动对人力资本结构高级化产生促进作用;并且通过分区域回归的方法,间接证明了人力资本结构高级化的最优水平随经济发展水平或产业结构的不同而不同,同时发现相较于东中部地区,西部地区的人力资本结构高级化对经济增长的影响不存在倒"U"型关系,而是呈显著的正相关关系。此外,在回归结果中,通过"U"检验,还发现政府支出比重和消费强度与经济增长之间可能存在"U"型关系;而人均教育经费和每十万人高等院校数对人力资本结构高级化的影响分别可能存在边际效应的递增和递减的趋势。
According to the principle of endowment structure supply and demand and the principle of circular cumulative causality in new structural economics,using the Chinese provincial panel data from 1999-2018 to carry out the regression of single equation model and the regression of the joint equation model and apply the"U"test,this paper verifies the inverted"U"-type relationship between advanced human capital structure and economic growth,and proves that economic growth can promote the advanced human capital structure by the change of industrial structure and the change of education and training system;Indirectly,it is proved that the optimal level of the advanced human capital structure varies with the level of economic development or industrial structure,and it is found that compared with the eastern and central regions,the influence of the advanced human capital structure on economic growth in the western region does not have the inverted"U"-type relationship,but shows a significant positive correlation.In addition,in the regression results of this paper,through the"U"test,it is found that there may be a"U"-type relationship between the proportion of government expenditure and economic growth,which is same as the relationship between consumption intensity and economic growth.Meanwhile,the per capita education expenditure and the impact of the number of institutions of higher learning per 100,000 people may have the trend of increasing and decreasing marginal effect on the advanced human capital structure.
作者
陈加旭
何尧
Chen Jiaxu;He Yao
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第7期180-190,共11页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基金
国家社科基金教育学项目“农民工返乡创业教育支撑体系及绩效研究”(CKA150137),项目负责人:郑小强
西南石油大学人文专项基金“我国城市居民养老财务规划行为优化研究”(2018RW022),项目负责人:陈加旭
2019年度成都市教育科研规划课题“基于SWOT理论的“U-G-S”育人模式构建——以XDYZ和SWPU为例”(CY2019Z17),项目负责人:陈桂胜。
关键词
人力资本结构高级化
经济增长
产业结构
禀赋结构
倒“U”型
Advanced human capital structure
Economic growth
Industrial structure
Endowment structure
Inverted"U"-type