摘要
以2020年1月22日至2020年3月22日湖北省随州市新型冠状病毒肺炎(2019-nCoV)患者数据进行研究,通过MATLAB软件建立SEIR模型对湖北省随州市疫情进行干预措施影响的研究和疫情的发展趋势预测。研究结果表明SEIR模型对2019-nCoV疫情发展趋势进行干预措施影响研究和预测是可靠的,这对疫情干预决策具有重要意义,即干预措施对疫情发展有抑制作用。
Based on the data of patients with new coronavirus pneumonia(2019-nCoV)from Suizhou City,Hubei Province,from January 22,2020 to March 22,2020 And forecast the development trend of the epidemic situation.The research results show that the SEIR model is reliable for the research and prediction of the impact of intervention measures on the development trend of the 2019-nCoV epidemic situation,which is of great significance to the decision of epidemic intervention,that is,the intervention measures have an inhibitory effect on the development of the epidemic situation.
作者
叶均磊
魏志国
陈海桃
祝海泉
余跃
高刚毅
YE Jun-lei;WEI Zhi-guo;CHEN Hai-tao;ZHU Hai-quan;YU Yue;GAO Gang-yi(Jingchu University of Technology,General Aviation Institute,Jingmen 448000,China)
出处
《电脑与信息技术》
2020年第4期31-32,36,共3页
Computer and Information Technology
