加勒万河谷流血冲突:印度的危险游戏及其对中印关系的影响

The Bloody Conflict in the Galwan Valley:India’s Dangerous Game and Its Impact on Sino-Indian Relations

加勒万河谷流血冲突是中印关系发展中的一个悲剧。事件的发生固然有其具体的原因,但归根结底还是印度的地区权力逻辑在发挥作用。无论是英属印度、独立后国大党长期执政的印度,还是2014年后长期由人民党执政的印度,均将拓展地区权力视为国家利益的重要组成部分,这是加勒万谷流血冲突事件爆发最重要的一个根源。加勒万河谷流血冲突引发印度国内对中国的全面反应,印度在外交、军事、经济等方面作出了应对,对中印关系造成了冲击,增加了中印关系未来发展的不确定性。在权力游戏的策略下,印度对中国"假亲假近"的外交策略遗患无穷,也是造成加勒万河谷流血冲突发生的一个具体原因。客观来看,印度在其安全战略及架构中,在权力游戏的解读与演绎中,从未将中国视为伙伴,而是将中国视为其地区霸权的挑战者。因此,中国所有外交与合作策略均被印度纳入其地区权力体系中进行解读。在此基础上,印度"权力游戏"与中国"命运共同体"形成了两种不同的话语体系,而这两种话语体系之间缺乏理解与桥梁。按照印度的权力逻辑与思维,建立两种不同话语体系之间的桥梁是困难的,理性共存或是中印关系未来发展的一个现实选择。

The bloody conflict in the Galwan Valley is a tragedy in the development of Sino-Indian relations.Of course,there are specific reasons for the incident,but in the final analysis,it is India’s regional power logic that plays a role.Whether British India and India which has long been in power by the Congress Party after independence,or which has been ruled by the BJP for a long time after 2014,all regard the expansion of regional power as an important part of the national interest.This is one of the most important sources of bloodshed in the Galwan Valley.The occurrence of the bloody conflict in the Galwan Valley triggered a comprehensive response to China in India.India made a comprehensive response in diplomatic,military,economic and other aspects,which had an impact on Sino-Indian relations and increased the uncertainty of the future development of Sino-Indian relations.Under the strategy of power game,India’s diplomatic strategy of"fake pro-holiday proximity"to China is endless,which is also a specific reason for the bloodshed in the Galwan Valley.Objectively speaking,in its security strategy and structure,India has never regarded China as a partner,but a challenger to its regional hegemony in the interpretation and interpretation of the power game.Therefore,all strategies of China are included in its power game for interpretation.On this basis,India’s"game of power"and China’s"community with a shared future"have formed two different discourse systems,but there is a lack of understanding and bridge between these two discourse systems.According to India’s power logic and thinking,it is difficult to build a bridge between two different discourse systems,and rational coexistence may be a realistic choice for the future development of Sino-Indian relations.