摘要
通过对明代山西地区的干旱灾害的灾害链效应的概述和分析,针对五条灾害链之间的关系简要进行了总结。以山西地区为主要研究区域,选取的干旱灾害的信息主要来自于《中国气象灾害大典》的山西卷、《中国三千年气象记录总集》和《山西自然灾害史年表》等已出版书籍,以及《明史》五行志、山西通志、各县县志等有关资料,寻找有关土地沙化、地面沉降、森林火灾、蝗灾、鼠疫、饥荒的信息,最后使用相关分析法确定干旱灾害和其次生灾害的响应机制。研究结果表明:山西地区的旱灾和土地沙化、地面沉降、森林火灾、蝗灾、疫病、饥荒之间存在五条明显的灾害链,而且五条灾害链效应之间并不是单一的形成影响,而是一个相互交错的网状链式作用图,明朝中后期万历年间和崇祯年间的大旱灾在经过一系列的旱灾灾害链效应过后,间接导致了明朝政权的灭亡。
In this paper,the disaster chain effect of drought disaster in Shanxi area in Ming Dynasty is summarized and analyzed,and the relationship between the six disaster chains is summarized.Taking Shanxi area as the main research region,the drought disaster data mainly comes from the"China meteorological disaster Dictionary-Shanxi volume"three thousand years,"China collection","the Shanxi meteorological records the history of natural disasters and other publications and chronology","history of the Ming Dynasty,"annals of Shanxi County,county and other related documents,looking for land desertification,ground subsidence,forest fires,locusts,plague,famine,and finally determine the response mechanism of drought disasters and secondary disasters using correlation analysis method.The results show that there are five distinct regions of the Shanxi disaster chain between drought and desertification,land subsidence,forest fires,locusts,plague,famine,and between the five disaster chain is not isolated to play a role,but the mutual connection and interaction,in the middle and late Ming Dynasty Wanli and Chongzhen years of drought in the after a series of drought disaster chain effect,indirectly led to the demise of the Ming Dynasty regime.
作者
侯薇
杨朝
Hou Wei;Yang Zhao(Taiyuan Normal University,Taiyuan Shanxi,030619;Capital Normal University,Beijing China,100048)
出处
《地方文化研究》
2020年第3期21-28,共8页
Local Culture Research
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“历史时期中国亚洲象的分布与变迁研究”(项目编号:16CZS016)。
关键词
明代
山西
旱灾
灾害链
The Ming dynasty
Shanxi Province
Drought
Disaster chain
