两种类型增长与深圳角色转换

Two Types of Growth and Shenzhen’s Role Transformation

中国经济减速的原因,包括重要需求和相关产业历史需求峰值的相继出现、人口和劳动力的数量与结构的变动、可利用技术的减少、资源环境接近或达到了临界状态等。要区分两种不同类型的增长,即“补短型增长”和“升级型增长”。应当把中等收入群体倍增作为全面建成小康社会后的另一个重要战略;推动与两类增长相配套的一系列重要改革;改革方法至关重要,“摸着石头过河”仍未过时。深圳具备了“升级型增长”几乎最为有利的条件,同时也面临着如何打破逐步增多的约束条件限制的挑战,应当拿出当年改革开放的勇气、魄力和智慧,在体制机制政策上拓开一片新天地,引领全国的“升级型增长”和高水平对外开放。

The reasons for China’s economic slowdown include the successive emergence of historical peaks in demand for important and related industries,changes in the number and structure of population and labor force,reduction of available technologies,and the approach or reaching of a critical state of resources and environment.Two different types of growth should be distinguished,namely“short-replenishing growth”and“ascending growth”.We should double the number of middle-income groups as another important strategy after completing the building of a moderately prosperous society in all respects.Promoting a series of important reforms that are compatible with both types of growth;The reform approach is crucial,and“crossing the river by feeling the stones”is still alive and well.Shenzhen has almost the most favorable conditions for upward growth,but also faces the challenge of how to break the gradually increasing constraints.It should show the courage,courage and wisdom of the reform and opening up in the past,open up a new horizon in the system and mechanism policies,and lead the country’s upward growth and high-level opening up.