气候变化对水电发电能力及市场的影响——中国水电产业在气候变化条件下的案例分析

Climate Change Impact on Hydropower Production and Market——Literature Review and Case Study of Hydropower in China with Changing Climates

水电作为一种新兴的可持续性能源,以应对温室气体引起的气候变化,气候变化同时也会对水电生产和市场都造成影响。气候变化对水电产业的影响主要是通过降水和径流两个要素。气候变化使这两个要素不断变化不能稳定从而影响水电生产。大规模的全球气候灾难,如飓风,也给水电设施造成影响和问题。本文将以中国为背景,探讨气候变化对水电的影响。水电对某些地区的地方经济极为重要,气候变化可能通过影像水电产业对这些地区经济产生负面影响。为了了解气候变化给影响将带来怎样的影响,需要对水电的不同区位,机构以及设施都有一个广泛的,全球视角的分析。文章将研究中国如何利用从其他国家吸取的经验和教训来权衡和减轻气候变化对水电产业带来的负面影响。

As an emerging source of energy considered sustainable in face of greenhouse gas induced climate change,hydropower itself is affected by climate change both in managerial and economical terms.The principal factors in climate change’s impacts on hydropower are precipitation and runoff,which are two features that remain unstable in the face of weather shifts.Large-scale global climate catastrophes,such as hurricanes,also pose a problem for hydropower facilities and infrastructure.The following paper will discuss the role climate change plays in hydroelectric power in the background of China.Hydropower can be extremely important for local economies in some regions,and climate change may have a negative impact on these economies.In order to understand how climate changes affect hydropower,it is also necessary to have a broader and more global understanding of different regions,institutions and facilities.The paper will examine how China can use lessons learned globally to gauge the effect of climate change on hydropower with experiences and lessons learnt from other nations.