结构效应对陕西省工业碳排放变化的影响研究

Study on the Influence of Structure Effect on the Change of Industrial Carbon Emission in Shanxi Province

运用LMID分解方法,基于陕西省工业37个两位数行业数据,对2007—2018年间工业碳排放变化进行分解。发现能源强度是工业碳排放减少的主要因素,工业规模效应是工业碳排放增加的主要因素,能源结构和工业结构在研究期间使碳排放增加的幅度不大。从2013年开始,能源结构和工业结构逐年改善,使陕西省工业碳排放下降。优化工业产业结构,改善能源结构是未来陕西省工业低碳转型的可行路径。

Using the LMID decomposition method,based on the data of 37 double-digit industries in Shaanxi Province,the changes of industrial carbon emissions in 2007-2018 were decomposed.It is found that energy intensity is the main factor of industrial carbon emission reduction,industrial scale effect is the main factor of industrial carbon emission increase,and energy structure and industrial structure make carbon emission increase little during the study period.Since 2013,the energy structure and industrial structure have improved year by year,which has led to the decline of industrial carbon emissions in Shaanxi Province.Optimizing the industrial structure and improving the energy structure is the feasible path of industrial low carbon transformation in Shaanxi Province in the future.