“一带一路”倡议与相关国家人员流动性

"The Belt and Road"initiative and employee mobility in relevant countries

“一带一路”倡议对沿线国家的社会经济发展的各个方面都可能产生重要影响,其中人员流动是一个基础却极为重要的课题.本文采集了东南亚与南亚地区参与“一带一路”建设国家中上百万真实的公开简历数据,并通过对其进行文本分析来重构该地区人员流动历史的面板大数据.在此基础上,本文实证检验了“一带一路”对沿线国家人员流动性的影响.结果表明,“一带一路”及相关投资项目的实施显著提高了沿线国家的人员流动性水平.同时,本文也利用准自然实验的方式,运用倾向得分匹配—双重差分法(PSM-DID)进一步验证了主要结论.本文的结论有助于增进我们对于“一带一路”的重要意义与国际影响的实证理解.同时,本文对线上简历大数据的运用也为未来的相关研究提供了新的思路.

“The Belt and Road”(B&R)initiative may have a profound effect on all aspects of socio-economic development across the relevant countries within the region,among which employee mobility is a basic but critical issue.By applying big data technics and text analysis to massive resume data,this paper collects millions of authentic resumes that are publicly available online from the B&R countries in Southeast Asia and South Asia and reconstructs a panel data set to capture the history of employee mobility in recent years.On this basis,this paper empirically investigates the influence of the B&R on employee mobility in the relevant countries.Our results demonstrate that the B&R,as a result of the implementation of related investment projects,has significantly improved the level of employee mobility in relevant countries.Meanwhile,this paper also conducts a quasi-natural experiment to further verify the main findings by using PSM-DID method.The findings of this paper may help to enhance our understandings of the significance of the B&R as well as its global impact.Moreover,the innovative way of utilizing the big data of online resumes in this paper may provide important implications for future studies in related fields.