基于粗糙集的指挥决策仿真可信性评估方法

Credibility Evaluation Method of Command Decision-Making Simulation Based on Rough Sets

指挥决策仿真存在影响因素复杂、评判标准不统一等特点,对其进行可信性评估存在诸多难点。采用粗糙集和模糊评判相结合的方法进行指挥决策仿真的可信性评估,首先采用层次分析的方法对可信性评估指标进行筛选分析,构建了评估指标体系;阐述了粗糙集和模糊综合评判理论的一般原理,并构建了从对评估样本进行知识约简,到结合主客观因素确定指标综合权重,再到对指标数据集进行模糊评判的评估模型;最后利用决策仿真系统开展可信性评估实验,验证了所提算法的可行性和合理性。

Command decision-making simulation has the characteristics of complex influencing factors and inconsistent evaluation standards,therefore,there are many difficulties in its credibility evaluation.The paper used a combination of rough set and fuzzy evaluation to evaluate the credibility of Command decision-making simulation.Firstly,the analytic hierarchy process was used to screen and analyze the credibility evaluation indicators to build an evaluation index system.Secondly,the general principles of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and rough sets theory were elaborated.Based on this,a credibility evaluation model was constructed based on the knowledge reduction of the evaluation samples,determination of comprehensive weights of indicators by combining subjective and objective factors,and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of the index data set.Finally,a credibility evaluation experiment was carried out using a decision-making simulation system,which verified the feasibility and rationality of the algorithm proposed in this paper.