基于ADC法的防空导弹武器系统效能建模

Effectiveness modeling of air defense missile weapon system based on ADC method

基于ADC(availability dependability capability)法对防空导弹武器系统效能进行建模。针对防空导弹武器系统复杂的特点,构建了系统的多状态及状态转移的路径,充分体现了武器系统的可靠性水平,建立了可用性和可信度模型。克服了ADC法的不足,对系统能力向量进行拓展,考虑了指控能力、抗干扰能力、生存能力等综合性指标,突破单指标效能评估的局限性。采用多种方法组合,对量纲类指标采用标度法进行计算,对定量概率指标采用参数法进行建模,对定性概率指标采用标度法结合德尔菲法进行量化。通过算例的验证表明了该模型适用、准确。

The effectiveness model of air defense missile weapon system based on availability dependability capability(ADC)method is established.According to the complex characteristics of air defense missile weapon system,the muti-state and state transition path of the system is constructed,fully reflecting the reliability level of the weapon system,and the model of availability and dependability is established.The deficiency of ADC method is overcomed,the ability vector of the system is expanded,the comprehensive indexes such as command and control ability,anti-jamming ability and survivability are in consicleration,and the limitation of single index effectiveness evaluation is broken.Various methods are adopt in the scale method to calculate the dimension index,the parameter method is used to model the quantitative probability index,and the scale method combined with Delphi method is used to quantify the qualitative probability index.The model is proved to be accurate and applicable by a numerical example.