中国与“一带一路”沿线国家农产品产业内贸易水平测度及影响因素分析

Measurement of the intra-industry trade level of agricultural products between China and countries along the“Belt and Road”and analysis of influencing factors

利用GL指数及BI指数,测度了2004—2018年中国与沿线14国农产品产业内贸易的静态水平及动态水平,并运用计量模型研究两者的影响因素。研究发现,中国与沿线14国农产品产业内贸易水平较低,且贸易增长主要依靠产业间贸易;市场规模对产业内贸易静态水平有促进效应,贸易不平衡度、农产品贸易竞争力及人均收入差异对其有抑制效应。市场规模对产业内贸易动态水平有促进效应,农产品贸易竞争力及人均收入差异对其有抑制效应。

Using GL index and BI index,this paper measures the static and dynamic levels of intra-industry trade of agricultural products between China and 14 countries along the route from 2004 to 2018,and uses econometric model to study their influencing factors.It is found that the intra-industry trade level of agricultural products between China and the 14 countries along the route is relatively low,and the trade growth mainly depends on the inter-industry trade.The size of the market has a promoting effect on the static level of intra-industry trade,while the trade imbalance,the competitiveness of agricultural product trade and the difference of per capita income have a restraining effect on it.The size of the market promotes the dynamic level of intra-industry trade,while the competitiveness of agricultural product trade and the difference of per capita income restrain it.