摘要
在基于高技术服务业与制造业之间存在互动发展的理论假设前提下,从组织生态学、空间结构和价值链的角度探讨二者互动关系的内在机理,同时选取2008-2018年我国高技术服务业与制造业相关数据,构建VAR模型进行实证分析,通过平稳性检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验进行验证,利用脉冲响应和方差分解技术分析二者动态影响规律.实证研究显示,我国高技术服务业与制造业存在协同发展的长期稳定关系,呈显著正相关,且高技术服务业对制造业转型升级推动作用更为突出.基于此研究结果,从国家、产业及企业层面提出对策建议,促进二者互动发展的良性循环.
Under the premise of theoretical development based on the interactive development between high-tech service industry and manufacturing industry,explore the internal mechanism of the interaction between the two from the perspective of organizational ecology,spatial structure and value chain.At the same time,we selected the relevant data of China’s high-tech service industry and manufacturing industry from 2008 to 2018 to construct a VAR model for empirical analysis.Verification by stationary test,co-integration test,and Granger causality test,and using impulse response and variance decomposition techniques to analyze the dynamic influence of the two.Empirical research shows that China’s hightech service industry and manufacturing industry have a long-term stable relationship of coordinated development.Moreover,the role of high-tech service industry in promoting the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing is more prominent.Based on the results of this research,countermeasures and suggestions are proposed at the national,industrial,and enterprise levels to promote a virtuous circle of interactive development between the two.
作者
肖怡文
XIAO Yi-wen(Foreign Language Department of Min Jiang Teachers College,Fuzhou 350108,China)
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
北大核心
2020年第13期81-89,共9页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基金
福建省社科基金青年项目“‘中国制造2025’背景下福建省高技术服务业与制造业升级的互动关系研究”(FJ2018C050)。
关键词
高技术服务业
制造业
互动发展
VAR模型
脉冲响应
high-tech service industry
manufacturing industry
interactive development
var model
impulse response
