湖北省旅游产业集聚对城市客流量的影响——基于动态面板GMM估计分析

The Impact of Tourism Industry Agglomeration on Urban Tourist Flow in Hubei Province:GMM Estimation Analysis Based on Dynamic Panel

产业集聚是旅游产业结构调整和转型升级的重要推手。利用区位熵指数测度湖北省13个市(州)2006—2017年旅游产业聚集水平,采用系统GMM测算旅游产业集聚对城市客流量增长的影响程度。结果表明:(1)湖北省旅游产业集聚水平总体偏低,增长态势不明显。相对于其它地区,恩施州的旅游产业集聚水平增长最为显著,年增长率约为14.01%。研究期内,武汉、十堰、咸宁、恩施4个地区的旅游区位熵均值大于1,形成较高的旅游产业集聚水平。(2)城市客流量增长迅速,武汉城市圈中,武汉市一城独大,整体辐射能力较弱,鄂西生态文化旅游圈的客流量相对均衡。(3)旅游产业集聚对客流量具有显著的积极影响,旅游产业集聚水平较高的地区客流量规模也较大。

Industrial agglomeration is an important driving force for the structural adjustment,transformation and upgrading of tourism industry.This paper uses location entropy index to measure the level of tourism industry agglomeration in 13 cities of Hubei province from 2006 to 2017,and then uses system GMM to measure its impact on the growth of urban tourist flow.The results show that:Firstly,the level of tourism industry agglomeration in Hubei province is generally low,and the growth trend is not obvious.Compared with other regions,Enshi has the most significant growth.During the research period,the average value of tourism location entropy in Wuhan,Shiyan,Xianning and Enshi was more than 1,which forms a higher level of tourism industry agglomeration.Secondly,the growth of urban tourist flow is rapid,and the scale of tourist flow is larger in four regions whose tourism industry agglomeration level are higher(Wuhan,Shiyan,Xianning and Enshi);The overall radiation capacity of Wuhan urban circle is weak,which means the dominance of Wuhan is still significant,while the tourist flow of the eco-cultural tourism circle in Western Hubei is relatively balanced.Thirdly,the agglomeration of tourism industry is the main driving force for the increase of tourist flow.Besides,the level of economic development,the endowment of tourism resources and the size of the market also have significant positive effects on the tourist flow.