蔡英文主政下的台湾当局涉外关系困境

The Dilemma of Taiwan External Relations in Tsai Ing-wen Administration

2016年5月蔡英文上台主政以来,以拓展“台独”国际活动空间为“外交”目标,全力推行“联美制中”政策,主动融入美国主导的“印太战略”,借美之力巩固“邦交”阵地、扩大多边活动空间,并且力图通过“新南向政策”减轻对大陆经贸依赖。然而,特朗普政府奉行“美国优先”政策,蔡当局对美“一边倒”策略,让台湾沦为美对华战略博弈的“棋子”。在国际社会一中框架日益稳固下,蔡当局在涉外领域“台独”图谋连年受挫。本文根据蔡上台后涉外关系总体趋势,重点结合2019年度情况加以深度分析,以揭示其涉外关系现实困境。

After taking power in May,2016,in order to maintain the so-called“Taiwan Independence”international space,Tsai Ing-wen has been pushing the“allying with the United States and containing China”policy,including actively integrating into the“Indo-Pacific Strategy”dominated by the United Sates,consolidating its relations with“diplomatic partners”with the help of the United States,extending its relations with the Chinese Mainland“diplomatic partners”,seeking more international participation in the multilateral activities,and weakening its economic and trade reliance on Chinese Mainland by promoting“New Southbound Policy”.Unfortunately,by adopting the“taking side with United States”policy,Taiwan is just becoming a“bargaining chip”of the United States in the game with China.As the One-China Principle is becoming a consensus in the international community,Taiwan is facing more difficulty in its external relations.Taking the general trend of the Taiwan External Relations in Tsai Ing-wen Administration and especially focusing on the Situation in 2019,this paper tries to analyze the current situation and the future trend of the Taiwan External Relations.