线上接单收益对出租车司机行为决策的影响

The Impact of Online Order Receiving on Taxi Drivers'Behavior Decision

目前交通基础设施正不断发展,运输服务能力攀升新台阶,老百姓出行更加便利。机场陆侧交通系统是机场与城市之间交通衔接的重要纽带,但机场常建于偏远之地,公共交通路线往往单一,出租车就成为了重要的衔接方式。本文基于此背景展开研究探讨,利用最小二乘法对机场出租车站点候车人数进行拟合,引入滞留指数来表示出租车司机做出相应决策的概率,结合实际情况分析了排队等待、返回市中心拉客、利用“打的软件”线上接单三种选择方案,建立收益决策模型,并验证得出结论,线上接单收益最大。

At present,transportation infrastructure is constantly developing,transportation sendee capacity has climbed to a new level,and it is more convenient for people to travel.The airport's landside transportation system is an important link between the airport and the city,but the airport is often built in a remote place.The public transportation route is often single,and taxis have become an important way of connection.Based on this background,this paper conducts research,uses least squares method to fit the number of people waiting at the airport taxi station,introduces the retention index to indicate the probability of the taxi driver making the corresponding decision,and analyzes the actual situation to wait in line and return to the city center.The paper uses the three options of online software ordering to build a revenue decision model and verify the conclusion that online ordering has the greatest revenue.