产业结构与环境污染的灰色关联分析——来自淮河经济带的例证

Grey Correlation Analysis of Industrial Structure and Environmental Pollution——An Example from the Huaihe Economic Belt

产业结构的状态对于环境污染有直接影响。基于淮河经济带25个城市2009~2018年数据,构建灰色关联模型,测算淮河经济带产业结构与环境污染的灰色关联度,实证分析测量结果。研究结果显示:从局部上来看,大气环境、固体环境与三产结构的灰色关联度大于水环境,同时三产结构对固体环境的影响最大,大气环境次之,水环境最小;从整体上来看,第二产业与环境污染的关联程度最大,其次是第三产业,最后是第一产业;淮河经济带产业结构呈现“二三一”的格局。

The state of industrial structure has a direct impact on environmental pollution.Based on the data of 25 cities in the Huaihe Economic Belt from 2009 to 2018,this article constructs a grey correlation model,calculates the grey correlation between the industrial structure and environmental pollution in the Huaihe Economic Belt,and empirically analyzes the measurement results.The research results show that:from a local perspective,the gray relationship between the atmospheric environment,the solid environment,and the tertiary structure is greater than that of the water environment.At the same time,the tertiary structure has the largest impact on the solid environment,followed by the atmospheric environment,and the smallest water environment.The secondary industry has the greatest degree of correlation with environmental pollution,followed by the tertiary industry,and finally the primary industry;the indus⁃trial structure of the Huaihe Economic Belt presents a"two three one"pattern.