我国铁矿石价格影响因素实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Influencing Factors of Iron Ore Price in China

铁矿石是我国钢铁企业生产的重要原材料,其价格受多重因素的共同作用影响。论文在对影响铁矿石价格的相关因素进行理论分析的基础之上,选取了生铁产量、铁矿石原矿产量、粗钢产量、铁矿石进口数量、铁矿石库存数量等7个指标,利用灰色关联度分析法进行实证分析。结论表明:粗钢产量对铁矿石价格变化影响最大,其次是生铁产量,铁矿石原矿产量影响相对较小,并提出了相关政策建议。

Iron ore is an important raw material produced by Chinese steel enterprises,and its price is affected by multiple factors.On the basis of theoretical analysis of the relevant factors affecting the price of iron ore,this paper selects seven indicators,such as pig iron output,iron ore raw ore output,crude steel output,iron ore import quantity and iron ore inventory quantity,and conducts empirical analysis by using the grey relational degree analysis method.The conclusion shows that crude steel production has the greatest influence on the change of iron ore price,followed by pig iron production,and the influence of iron ore raw ore production is relatively small.Then this paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions.