新冠肺炎疫情影响下陕西省消费分析及对策研究

Consumption analysis and Countermeasures of Shaanxi Province under the Influence of COVID-19 Epidemic

新冠肺炎疫情对陕西省消费影响较大,消费品市场陷入低迷状态。本文基于负面冲击后消费恢复的历史经验,探究新冠肺炎疫情后陕西省消费未来恢复情况,并使用2014-2019年季度数据,实证分析不同类型收入对陕西省居民消费的影响。结果显示:新冠肺炎疫情对陕西省非生存型消费影响较大,因收入拉动作用有限,依靠经济自身动力消费可能无法恢复至正常水平,而工资性收入和经营净收入提高能够有效促进居民非生存型消费。基于此,本文从提升居民非生存型消费、保障低收入群体消费角度提出相关对策建议。

The COVID-19 epidemic has a serious impact on consumption in Shaanxi Province,and the consumer goods market is in a state of depression.Based on the historical experience of consumption recovery after a negative impact,this paper explores the future recovery of consumption in Shaanxi Province after COVID-19 epidemic,and uses the 2014-2019 quarter data to empirically analyze the impact of different types of income on the residents'consumption in Shaanxi Province.The results show that COVID-19 epidemic has a greater impact on non-survival consumption in Shaanxi Province,and due to the limited role of income,consumption may not return to normal levels relying on the economy's power,while the increase of wage income and operating net income could effectively promote the non subsistence consumption of residents.Based on this,this paper gives relevant countermeasures and suggestions from the perspective of improving residents'non-survival consumption and ensuring the consumption of low-income groups.