厦门机场“白鹿”台风强降水天气复盘分析

Xiamen Airport"Bailu"Typhoon Heavy Rain Weather Checking Analysis

本文通过对2019年11号台风“白鹿”强降水对厦门机场影响过程进行复盘分析发现:此次台风的特点为路径相对比较稳定,台风外围的螺旋云带给厦门机场带来强降水天气。通过实况与发布的报文、警报对比分析发现,台风登陆后上午的降水预报较为准确,下午强降水的强度和持续时间预计不足。台风气象服务总体效果不错,对台风的移动路径、厦门机场风速和风向转变的预报基本准确,及时启动灾害性天气预警。

Based on the re-analysis of the impact process of Typhoon"Bailu"on Xiamen airport in 2019,it was found that the track of the typhoon is relatively stable,and the spiral clouds around the typhoon bring heavy rainfall to Xiamen airport.It is found that the precipitation forecast in the morning after typhoon landing is more accurate,and the intensity and duration of heavy rainfall in the afternoon are not enough.The overall effect of typhoon meteoro⁃logical service is good.The forecast of typhoon moving path,wind speed and wind direction change of Xiamen airport is basically accurate,and the early warning of disastrous weather is started in time.