土地承包延期30年政策对农户土地流转意愿影响研究——基于山西省文水县调查

The Research on the Peasants’ Willingness of Land Transfer under the Policy of Lengthening 30 Years Land Contract Period:Evidence from Wenshui Survey in Shanxi Province

通过山西省文水县调查数据,运用Logistic回归分析,探究第二轮承包期到期后再延长30年政策对农户土地流转意愿的影响因素。实证结果显示,农户职业分化、非农就业人口、耕地面积对农户土地流转呈负向显著影响。土地调整次数、土地是否确权、是否了解延期政策等因素对土地流转呈正向显著影响。所以,下一步应当建立健全土地流转机制和激励措施,降低土地调整的次数,加快土地确权颁证工作,加大土地承包延期政策宣传,引导农户积极参与土地流转,推动农村土地适度规模化经营。

The paper aims to explore the impact factors of the peasants’w illingness of land transfer under the policy of lengthening land contract period 30 years after the second-round period expiration,which is the reference for scale operation of rural land.The paper reveled the result of Logistic mode that the peasants’e mployment,the number of non-agriculture employment,the farmland area has significantly negative influence and the number of land adjustment,land titling,the knowledge of the policy of contract period extending,the area of farmland has significantly positive influence on willingness of land transfer.Based on the above results,it is necessary to improve the land transfer mechanism,decreasing the number of land adjustment,enhancing publicity of the policy of contract period extending,which is beneficial to guide the participation of land transfer and improve the scale operation of the contract land.