摘要
采用事件分析法评估2019年年底新冠肺炎疫情爆发后北京市天然气用气情况,提出天然气日用气量的预测模型,结合北京市天然气企业的实际统计数据,进行疫情事件对天然气日用气量影响的显著性分析。结果表明,疫情事件对北京市2019—2020年供暖期天然气日用气量有显著影响。分析了疫情对城镇燃气企业的影响。
The event analysis method is used to evaluate the natural gas consumption in Beijing after the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak at the end of 2019,and a prediction model of daily natural gas consumption is proposed.Combined with the actual statistical data of natural gas enterprises in Beijing,the significance analysis of the influence of the epidemic event on the daily natural gas consumption is carried out.The results show that the epidemic event has a significant influence on the daily natural gas consumption during the heating period of 2019 to 2020 in Beijing.The influence of the epidemic on urban gas enterprises is analyzed.
作者
王勋
仇晶
陈婷婷
刘雨明
刘宗奇
王倩微
WANG Xun;QIU Jing;CHEN Tingting;LIU Yuming;LIU Zongqi;WANG Qianwei
出处
《煤气与热力》
2020年第9期36-38,42,J0044,共5页
Gas & Heat
关键词
新冠肺炎疫情
天然气日用气量
预测模型
事件分析法
显著性分析
COVID-19 epidemic
daily natural gas consumption
prediction model
event analysis method
significance analysis
