中国化工行业经济与资源环境影响的投入产出分析

Input-output analysis of the economic, resource and environmental impacts of China’s chemical industry

该文利用投入产出模型及相关的定量分析方法,研究了2002至2015年期间中国化工行业与国民经济发展的关联关系,以及这期间中国化工行业产生的环境影响与其他行业之间的联系。结果表明:中国化工行业对整个国民经济总产值的拉动作用高于各行业的平均值,国民经济发展对化工行业的依赖程度超过其余所有行业。中国化工行业的生产活动所消耗的化石能源和所产生的工业二氧化硫中,有超过75%隐含在其他行业的最终产品当中,并且该比例随着时间推移逐渐缓慢上升。

Quantitative analyses using an input-output model were used to study the relationships between China’s chemical industry and the national economy and the environmental impacts of China’s chemical industry and other sectors from 2002 to 2015.The results show that the contribution of the chemical industry to the increase of China’s gross output value is greater than the average of all other sectors.The chemical industry does more to expand China’s national economy than all other sectors.More than 75%of the fossil fuel consumption and industrial sulfur dioxide emissions of China’s chemical industry can be attributed to other sectors since many chemical industry products are raw materials for these other industries.The percentage of fossil fuel consumption and industrial sulfur dioxide emissions of China’s chemical industry attributed to other sectors kept increasing from 2002 to 2015.