基于集对分析理论的中国男篮与世界水准差距分析

An Analysis of the Gap Between Chinese Men’s Basketball and World Level Based on Set Pair Analysis Theory

运用集对分析理论中(SPA)的同异反态势分析法对2019年男篮世界杯中国男篮与世界水准的差距进行分析.研究认为:中国男篮达到世界水准的项目技术指标仅有抢断1项;与世界水准有较小的差距的项目技术指标有2分球投篮数、2分球命中率、罚球投篮数3项;与世界水准有一定差距的项目技术指标有进攻效率、真实投篮命中率、防守效率、防守篮板率、犯规5项;与世界水准有较大差距的项目技术指标有:3分球投篮数、3分球命中率、罚球命中率、进攻篮板率、盖帽、助攻6项;与世界水准有相当差距的项目技术指标为失误率1项.在同异反态势排序中,中国男篮位于均势4级,全8级,与世界水准相差1个态势区、7个势级.溯源造成上述现状成因并提出以下建议:走"崇尚技术、战术至上、以柔克刚"的中国特色篮球道路;实现训练课和理论课一体化;教练员自身应做到"内外兼修",篮协更正"成绩定成败"思想.

This paper analyzes the gap between the Chinese men’s basketball team in the 2019 Men’s Basketball World Cup and the world standard by using the sameness,difference and counter-situation analysis method in the set pair analysis theory(SPA).According to the research,the technical index of Chinese men’s basketball reaching the world level is only 1.There is a small gap with the world level of technical indicators of the project 2 points shot,2 points shot percentage,free throw shot 3 items;The technical indexes of the project are offensive efficiency,true shooting percentage,defensive efficiency,defensive rebound rate and 5 fouls.There is a big gap with the world level of technical indicators are: 3 points shot,3 points shot percentage,free throw percentage,offensive rebound rate,blocked shots,assists 6 items;With the world standard has the quite gap project technical index is the error rate 1 item.In the order of parity,the Chinese men’s basketball team is at level 4 and 8,which is 1 situation area and 7 potential levels different from the world level.After tracing the causes of the above status quo,the following Suggestions are put forward: Follow the path of basketball with Chinese characteristics of "advocating technology,tactics first,and making soft and firm".To realize the integration of training courses and theoretical courses.Coaches should do both internal and external training,and basketball association should reject the utilitarian idea of "success depends on achievement".