生产性服务业高质量发展对制造业升级的门槛效应

Threshold Effect of High Quality Development of Productive Services on the Upgrading of Manufacturing Industry

通过对Feder模型进行拓展,探究生产性服务业高质量发展对制造业升级的支撑效应。利用我国除西藏和港澳台地区以外的30个省份2000—2018年的平衡面板数据,检验生产性服务业对制造业升级的门槛效应。结果表明:我国生产性服务业对制造业升级存在单门槛效应,当生产性服务业高质量发展超过门槛值时,能显著地促进制造业升级;经济相对落后的中西部地区发展高质量的生产性服务业对制造业转型升级的促进作用更大。

Under the background of high-quality economic development,the upgrading of manufacturing industry was an effective way to climb the middle and high-end value chain.By expanding the Feder model,this paper explored the supporting effect of the high-quality development of producer services on the upgrading of manufacturing industry.Based on the balanced panel data of 30 provinces in China except Tibet,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan from 2000 to 2018,this paper examined the threshold effect of producer services on manufacturing upgrading.The research finds that there is a single threshold effect on the upgrading of manufacturing industry in producer service industry.When the high-quality development of producer service industry exceeds the threshold value,it significantly promotes the upgrading of manufacturing industry.Further comparative analysis of eastern and central and western regions shows that development of high-quality productive services in the central and western regions will play a greater role in promoting the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry.This study will help to reverse the fact that local governments only pay attention to the manufacturing industry itself while neglecting the supporting role of producer services in promoting the upgrading of manufacturing industry,and provide a new policy perspective for local governments to promote the upgrading of manufacturing industry through the development of high-quality producer services.