同心协力战疫 稳步实现全面建成小康社会奋斗目标——2020年上半年全国价格形势分析与下半年展望

Work Together to Fight the Epidemic and Steadily Achieve the Goal of Building a Well-off Society in All Respects———An Analysis of the National Price Situation in the First Half of 2020 and Outlook for the Second Half of the 2020

2020年上半年,新冠疫情侵袭全球,对我国经济发展与价格形势产生较强冲击。上半年全国价格形势总体表现为CPI结构性上涨特征减弱,CPI与核心CPI剪刀差持续收窄,PPI受国际能源价格和国内需求两大负面冲击影响持续下行。下半年,随着积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策落实、复工复产率的持续提高,将支撑价格低位平稳运行。但需时刻防范国际需求受新冠疫情的错峰扩散、经济恢复迟缓以及国际政治与经济摩擦等不确定性因素对我国经济发展的影响。为顺利完成全面建成小康社会目标,建议运用财政政策与货币政策稳定国内需求,提升中国经济发展韧性。

In the first half of 2020,the COVID-2019 epidemic has been invading the world and has a strong impact on China's economic development and price situation.In the first half of 2020,the overall national price showed that the structural rise of CPI weakened and the scissors gap between CPI and core CPI continued to narrow.PPI continued to decline due to the two negative impacts of international energy prices and domestic demand.In the second half of 2020,the continuous increase in the rate of resumption of producing and the implementation of the proactive fiscal policy and the sound monetary policy will support the stable of prices in the lower level.But it is necessary to always prevent the slow recovery of international demand from being delayed by the spread of the new peak pneumonia epidemic and the impact of international political and economic friction and other uncertain factors on China's economic development.In order to successfully complete the goal of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects,it is recommended to use fiscal and monetary policy to stabilize domestic demand and improve the resilience of China's economic development.