新动能对区域经济发展影响效应的空间计量分析

Spatial Econometric Analysis of the Effect of New Growth Drivers on Regional Economic Development

利用多层结构方程模型对2015~2017年我国17省市的新动能水平进行综合测评,运用空间面板模型就新动能对我国区域经济发展影响的空间效应进行实证分析,结论认为:新动能的各项分类水平和综合水平,在我国全域上均呈现上升变化趋势,但在分地区上存在着明显的分化趋势和非均衡性;区域经济发展具有显著的正向空间溢出效应;新动能对区域经济发展具有显著的影响效应,并且无论是直接影响效应还是间接影响效应,区域之间均表现出明显的空间异质性。

Multi-layer Structural Equation Model is utilized to comprehensively evaluate the new growth drivers levels of 17 provinces and cities in China from 2015 to 2017,and Spatial Panel Model is utilized to conduct empirical analysis of the spatial effect of the new growth drivers on China's regional economic development.The conclusions include:The classification level and comprehensive level of the new growth drivers show an upward trend across the country,but there is obvious differentiation and imbalances in different regions;Regional economic development has significant positive spatial spillover effect;New growth drivers has significant impact on regional economic development,and whether it is direct or indirect effect,there is a clear spatial heterogeneity between regions.