疫情影响下的世界经济:变局与重塑

The World Economy in the Crisis of Pandemic:The Change and Reshaping

正在全球蔓延的新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情(本文简称新冠疫情或疫情)对世界经济造成了前所未有的巨大冲击,其负面影响的广度和深度,更多取决于疫情的自身变化。同时要看到,疫情对经济系统而言是一个外生变量,影响机制有其自身特点,世界经济的微观基础并未遭到严重破坏,全球资产价格未随经济衰退而大幅下跌是一重要信号。疫情对世界经济的影响极其深远,并在很大程度上改变着国际经济关系。科技革命、经济全球化、国际产业链是人类文明的进步结晶,不会因一场疫情而烟消云散,合作与发展仍是世界前进的大方向。中国面临特殊的发展环境,要在更加不稳定不确定的世界中谋求自身发展。

The pandemic breaking out across the world has hit the global economy hard,and its negative impact mainly depends on the changes in the COVID-19 outbreak.Moreover,the pandemic is an exogenous variable to the economic system,and the influence system has its own characteristics,such as the less-damaged micro-economy and the relatively stable asset prices.The pandemic has had a profound impact on the world economy,and has changed international economic relations to a large extent.However,scientific and technological revolution,economic globalization and international industrial chains are the crystallization of human civilization and progress,and they will not be swept away by such a pandemic.Therefore,cooperation and development remain the general direction of the world progress.Facing a special environment,China must seek its own development in a more unstable and more uncertain world.