日本参与东北亚区域经贸合作趋势分析

Trend Analysis of Japan's Participation in the Northeast Asia Regional Economic and Trade Cooperation

面对贸易保护主义和逆全球化思潮抬头、日本国内经济低迷、少子高龄化加剧等挑战,日本政府不断调整内政外交政策,将促进本国经济复苏、加强与东北亚区域内主要国家经贸合作、实现优势互补作为2018-2019年日本发展的基本方针。日本在国内经济缓慢复苏的态势下,稳步推进与中国、韩国、俄罗斯、蒙古国等主要国家的经贸合作。但由于历史遗留问题、地缘政治因素和经济发展进程不尽相同等影响,合作中也出现一些问题。特别是日本步入令和时代以后,对东北亚国家合作的内外环境发生了一系列新变化:中美贸易摩擦尚未结束,日韩贸易争端又起,这些不仅对日本与东北亚国家的经贸合作带来影响,也给日本对东北亚国家其他领域合作带来诸多不确定性。

In the face of the rising trade protectionism and anti-globalization,the downturn of domestic economy,and the aggravation of the aging society and declining birthrate,the Japanese government has constantly adjusted its domestic and foreign policies.Promoting domestic economic recovery,strengthening economic and trade cooperation with major countries in Northeast Asia,and realizing complementary advantages were regarded as basic policies of Japan's development in 2018-2019.Japan steadily advanced economic and trade cooperation with China,South Korea,Russia,Mongolia and other major countries in the slow recovery of domestic economy.However,due to historical problems,geopolitical factors and different economic development processes,there were also some problems in cooperation.Especially after Japan stepped into the Reiwa period,a series of new changes have taken place in the internal and external environment of Japan's cooperation with Northeast Asian countries:Sino-US trade friction has not yet ended,and Japan-ROK trade disputes have arisen again.These not only affect Japan's economic and trade cooperation with Northeast Asian countries,but also bring many uncertainties to the cooperation in other fields.