中国-中亚-西亚经济走廊贸易投资便利化水平研究

Evaluation of trade and investment facilitation of China-Central Asia-West Asia economic corridor countries

立足"一带一路"倡议总体规划和最终目标,运用主成分分析法,对中国-中亚-西亚经济走廊国家的贸易投资便利化水平进行测度,并依据其贸易投资便利化得分,将沿廊17国划分为风险区、谨慎区、便利区、畅通区四个等级。在此基础上,将中国-中亚-西亚经济走廊划分为三大廊段,并对其贸易投资相关的条件进行详细分析,为出境企业和机构更好地了解沿廊国家贸易投资便利化、参与沿廊经济建设、防范经贸合作风险,推进"一带一路"建设提供参考依据。

The China-Central Asia-West Asia economic corridor has the highest resource endowments in the"Belt and Road".This paper uses principal component analysis to select five factors:market access,logistics and infrastructure,domestic regulatory environment,business environment,and customs management efficiency and 13 secondary indicators to evaluate the trade investment facilitation(TIF)of China-Central Asia-West Asia economic corridor countries.According to the TIF score,the 17 countries along the corridor are divided into four levels:risk zone,caution zone,convenience zone and smooth zone.On this basis,according to the geographical space differentiation of the country along the corridor,the China-Central Asia-West Asia economic corridor is divided into three major corridors,China’s corridors belong to the trade and investment cautious zone.The Central Asian country corridor belongs to the transition period of the trade and investment risk zone to the cautious zone.The West Asian country is the mixed corridor divided into three major secondary corridors.The South Caucasus is a trade and investment environment cautious zone,and the West Asian middle country belongs to the risk zone.The countries of the Arabian Peninsula belong to a relatively convenient area.Based on the above,the paper puts forward some suggestions:1)understand the trade and investment advantages of the convenience zone and the smooth zone countries,and fully use the advantage of them;2)establish a tiered risk prevention mechanism for trade and investment in the rade and investment risk zones and cautious zones;3)promote the role of economic organizations in the region such as The Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the China-Arab Forum,and actively support the economic development strategies of countries within the region.