豫皖湘赣承接产业转移与创新产出的非均衡格局及影响因素研究

Inequality pattern of industrial transfer and output of innovation and its influencing factors in Henan-Anhui-Hunan-Jiangxi Region

采用地理集中度、不均衡指数、不一致指数及地理加权回归对豫皖湘赣57个地级市2010—2016年承接产业转移与创新产出的非均衡格局及影响因素进行研究。结果表明:1)产业转移集中度指数变化较小但各地区之间产业转移集聚格局变化较为显著,总体上集中度高和较高的地区分布在豫北、豫中、皖中、皖南以及赣北地区;2)创新产出空间差异显著,呈现出以芜湖和郑州为中心向四周扩散的格局;3)豫皖湘赣地区大部分地区的承接产业转移与创新产出能力呈现出较强的不一致性;不均衡指数波动较大,呈现出上升、缓慢下降、快速上升的趋势;4)从影响因素回归系数来看,平均工资和教育占财政支出百分比与不一致指数成负相关,网络通讯发展水平与不一致指数呈正相关,而集聚效应与不一致状况关系较为复杂,具体表现为豫皖湘赣东部合肥等地和西部怀化等地为正高集聚区和北部郑州等地和南部赣州等地为负高值集聚区。

Taking 57 prefecture-level cities of Henan-Anhui-Hunan-Jiangxi Region as the research units,the unbalanced pattern and influencing factors of undertaking industrial transfer and innovation output of Henan-Anhui-Hunan-Jiangxi Region from 2010 to 2016 were studied by using geographical concentration,inconsistency,imbalance index and geographical weighted regression.The results show that:(1)The index of industrial transfer concentration degree changes little,but the pattern of industrial transfer concentration degree changes significantly among different regions.On the whole,the regions with high concentration degree and high concentration degree are distributed in northern Henan,central Henan,central Anhui,southern Anhui and northern Jiangxi;(2)The spatial difference of innovation output is significant,showing a pattern of diffusion from Wuhu and Zhengzhou to the surrounding areas;(3)There is a strong inconsistency between undertaking industrial transfer and innovation output capacity in most areas of Henan-Anhui-Hunan-Jiangxi Region.The unbalance index fluctuates greatly,showing a trend of rise,slow decline and rapid rise;(4)From the point of influence factor regression coefficient,the average salary and education take up of the financial expenditure and inconsistent negative correlation index,network communication and inconsistent development level index were positively correlated,and the accumulative effect and inconsistent status relationship is relatively complex,embodied in organ of the Henan-Anhui-Hunan-Jiangxi eastern area of Hefei and other places,and the west,which is positive high agglomeration area and north of Zhengzhou and other places,and southern Ganzhou high negative value cluster areas.