无偏非齐次灰色模型对海南科技金融结合效益评价研究

Research on Unbiased Non-homogeneous Grey Modle to Benefit Evaluation of Technology in Hainan Province

通过面板数据模型得到科技产出各指标的客观权重,从而构建了科技产出综合指数和金融投入综合指数,建立了海南省科技金融结合效益评价模型,同时将评价结果用无偏非齐次灰色模型NGM(1,1,k)进行预测.研究发现,海南省2011年—2017年度科技金融结合效益呈现出波动中缓慢增长趋势,说明金融资本对科技创新的助推作用没有得到充分的发挥,应加大金融改革力度提高科技和金融结合效益.

This paper uses panel data modle to get weight of each index of scientific and technological output,constructs composite index of scientific and technological output and financial inputs,establish the evaluation model on combined benefits of technology and finance in Hainan.At the same time,the evaluation results were predicted by the unbiased nonhomogeneous grey prediction NGM(1,1,k)model.The results show that:Hainan Province’s combined benefits of technology and finance in 2011-2017 show a slow increase in volatility,it shows that financial capital is not giving full play to the role of science and technology innovation,the government should strengthen financial reform to improve the efficiency of science,technology and financial integration.