印度及孟加拉两国2020年6月份新冠病毒疫情及输出风险研判

Risk Assessment of Novel Coronavirus Epidemic and Export Risks in India and Bangladesh in June 2020

印度的新冠疫情仍在增长期,确诊病例数、死亡人数上升持续增快,这意味着印度疫情高峰仍未到来。由于该国人员的流动逐渐增加、恶劣气候及季节来临、边远地区难以贯彻落实政府的疫情防控政策等因素叠加,未来将进一步加大疫情持续暴发的风险。孟加拉国近期新冠肺炎感染病例数正在快速增长,存在着向境外扩散的风险。自孟加拉国2020年3月8日首次报告新冠确诊病例,之后单日新增病例数不断上升。在每天新增病例不断增加的情况下,该国解除疫情防控限制措施将导致疫情形势恶化,加上该国遇到恶劣气候及季节变动,将使得疫情暴发进一步升级的风险加大。

The COVID-19 epidemic in India is still on the rise.The number of confirmed cases and the number of deaths rising at a rapid rate,which means that the peak of the epidemic in India has not yet reached.The risk of continued outbreaks will be further increased in the future due to the combination of increasing movement of people in the country,bad weather and approaching seasons,and difficulties in implementing the government's epidemic prevention and control policies in remote areas.The number of COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh is growing rapidly and there is a risk of its spread abroad.The number of COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh is growing rapidly and there is a risk of its spread abroad.Since Bangladesh first reported confirmed COVID-19 cases on 8 March 2020,the number of new cases in a single day has been increasing.At a time of increasing new cases every day,the lifting of restrictions in the country will worsen the situation,and the adverse weather and seasonal changes in the country will increase the risk of further escalation of the outbreak.