技术缠结及利益关联的技术锁定效应研究

Research on the lock-in effect of technical entanglement and interest correlation

技术锁定阻碍破坏性创新的出现和存活。本文将导致技术锁定的因素划分为技术缠结和利益关联两个方面,应用生存分析方法研究来自Searle Center Database的8106个技术标准的生存状况。研究表明:(1)技术越复杂、适用行业越多越容易形成技术锁定;(2)企业既得利益的锁定效应最强,而技术联盟和政府干预的影响次之;(3)政府干预导致的技术锁定效应在技术生存超过20年之后尤其明显。为了防止技术锁定,建议限制SEP拥有者过度攫取技术垄断利益,鼓励自下而上的多层次技术联盟参与制定技术标准,同时,政府不应过多参与技术标准制定过程。

Technology lock-in blocking the emergence and survival of disruptive innovation.Our paper divided the factors that lead to technology lock-in into two aspects:technical entanglement and interest correlation.The survival analysis method is used to study the survival state of 8106 technical standards from Searle Center Database.The results show that:(1)The more complex the technology is and the more industries,the easier it is to form technology lock-in;(2)the mechanism for maintaining the vested interests of enterprise is strongest,while the influence of the technical alliance and government intervention is the second;(3)Technology lock-in that lead by government is especially significant after the technology has survived for more than 20 years.In order to prevent technology lock-in,it is recommended to limit SEP owners to excessively capture technical monopoly interests,and encourage bottom-up multi-level technology alliances to participate in the formulation of technical standards.At the same time,the government should not participate too much in the technical standards setting process.